Together, we seek the world’s finest coffee—quietly exceptional, rooted in care. Not just found, but chosen with intention, every cup reflects a deeper kind of quality.
Samaria Coffee is a legacy rooted in family, land, and a devotion to excellence. Its story begins in Jardín, Antioquia, where Gerardo Escobar Mesa and Enriqueta Ceballos—an entrepreneurial couple—set the course for four generations of coffee cultivation.
In 1934, they moved to Belén de Umbría, Risaralda, drawn by fertile land and new opportunities. Nestled in Colombia’s Western Cordillera, Belén offered ideal conditions for Coffea arabica: rich soil, steady rainfall, and temperate climate.
On a small plot surrounded by misty mountains, Finca Samaria was born. Over time, Gerardo expanded the farm into a contiguous estate, laying the foundation for what would become a specialized coffee operation.
Now, more than eighty years later, the fourth generation of the Escobar family continues to steward the farm—preserving biodiversity and honouring a tradition of quality in every harvest.
This award is more than recognition—it’s a reflection of our craft and our community. Winning Gold in Star Tribune’s Minnesota’s Best for three consecutive years (2023, 2024, and 2025) affirms our commitment to quality, consistency, and the people we serve every day.
Community Favorites
Real people. Real connection.
These blends have earned their place in mugs across the country. Whether it’s your first bag or your fiftieth, these are the ones people reach for again and again.
Balanced. Flavorful. Grounded. Just like the people who drink them.
For some, it’s the first coffee they could drink black. For others, it’s the surprise in their mailbox each month. Everyone has a story about how Ember fits into their day — and we’re honored to be part of it.
Here’s what real people are saying...
Miriam Luebke
Verified Buyer
I've been trying to wean myself off of cream in my coffee for weight loss but could not bear to drink black coffee because of the bitter taste. Thanks to the smooth, delicious flavor of Ember I can now enjoy a cup of BLACK coffee with no calories!
I loved getting a mystery bag! The Peru roast I received is not one I would have chosen for myself but absolutely love it and will be in my rotation from here on out. It has great bold flavor without being bitter!
This coffee is a dream. My friend told me about this coffee and I'm so glad I picked some up. I can tell these beans are high quality and roasted fresh.
Caramel Bourbon is my favorite Ember coffee.
I love the rich flavor yet smooth and most importantly for me is NO heartburn or acid reflux which I'm prone to. This customer will never drink Folgers again.
My daughter and I really like the smooth taste of this coffee. This is our first time trying this flavor. We will keep purchasing it in the future. We recommend it.
This is the best cold brew bean and coffee 1 have found! I followed the suggestion with a 1:4 (coffee: water) ratio. It was the perfect ratio and turned out great.
This isn’t just coffee. It’s a moment of calm before the chaos. A daily ritual you actually look forward to. Ember roasts are crafted for people who care about how they start their day — and what they support while doing it.
We roast in small batches in Big Lake, Minnesota, using seasonal, traceable beans from growers who care as much as we do. As a women-owned, family-run roastery, we roast with intention, not shortcuts.
That afternoon coffee might be affecting your sleep more than you realize. Even if you fall asleep fine, caffeine can disrupt your sleep quality in ways you don't consciously notice — reducing deep sleep, fragmenting your rest, and leaving you less restored in the morning.
The commonly cited "6-hour rule" (stop caffeine 6 hours before bed) may not be enough for many people. Here's what the research actually shows about coffee and sleep, including the genetic factors that determine how long caffeine affects you.
How Caffeine Disrupts Sleep
Caffeine doesn't just keep you awake — it fundamentally alters your sleep architecture.
The Adenosine Mechanism
Caffeine works by blocking adenosine receptors in your brain. Adenosine is a neurotransmitter that builds up during waking hours and signals your brain that it's time to sleep. When caffeine blocks these receptors, it prevents adenosine from doing its job.
According to research from PMC, caffeine's primary targets are the A1 and A2A adenosine receptors. Studies show that mice lacking A2A receptors don't respond to caffeine's wake-promoting effects — confirming that adenosine blocking is the key mechanism.
The problem: adenosine doesn't disappear just because its receptors are blocked. It continues building up. When caffeine finally clears your system, all that accumulated adenosine hits your receptors at once — which can cause the "crash" feeling and doesn't guarantee good sleep.
What the Numbers Show
A meta-analysis from Sleep Medicine Reviews quantified caffeine's effects on sleep:
A meta-analysis found that caffeine reduces total sleep time by 45 minutes, decreases sleep efficiency by 7%, increases time to fall asleep by 9 minutes, and increases nighttime wake time by 12 minutes.
These are averages. Individual responses vary significantly based on genetics, tolerance, and dose.
Caffeine's Impact on Sleep Stages
Not all sleep is equal. Deep sleep (N3/N4) is when your body repairs itself, consolidates memory, and regulates hormones. REM sleep is when you dream and process emotions.
Caffeine affects both.
Deep Sleep Reduction
According to research from PMC:
Deep sleep duration decreased by 11.4 minutes
Deep sleep proportion decreased by 1.4%
Light sleep (N1) increased to compensate
This matters because deep sleep is essential for physical recovery, immune function, and memory consolidation. Less deep sleep means less restorative rest — even if your total sleep time looks normal.
REM Sleep Changes
Research from PubMed found that regular caffeine intake delays REM sleep onset. Total REM percentage may not change significantly, but the timing is shifted.
For most people, the deep sleep reduction is the bigger concern. You can feel the effects of reduced deep sleep even without consciously noticing it: less energy, worse mood, impaired cognitive performance.
The Caffeine Half-Life Problem
Here's why the "6-hour rule" often isn't enough.
What Half-Life Means
Caffeine's half-life is the time it takes for your body to eliminate half of the caffeine you consumed. According to comprehensive research from PMC:
Average half-life: 5 hours (range: 3-7 hours)
Full range: 1.5 to 9.5 hours
If you drink 200 mg of caffeine at 2 PM with a 5-hour half-life:
7 PM: 100 mg still in your system
12 AM: 50 mg still in your system
5 AM: 25 mg still in your system
Even at midnight, you'd have the equivalent of half a cup of coffee in your system.
The 6-Hour Rule Isn't Enough
A landmark study testing 400mg of caffeine showed that taking it at bedtime reduced sleep by 1.1-1.2 hours, taking it 3 hours before bed reduced sleep by 1.1-1.2 hours with an extra 27.6 minutes awake, and even taking it 6 hours before bed still reduced sleep by 41 minutes with an extra 8 minutes awake.
Even 6 hours before bed, 400 mg of caffeine significantly disrupted sleep. For moderate-to-heavy coffee drinkers, the commonly cited "6-hour rule" may be insufficient.
Evidence-Based Cutoff Times
Research published in SLEEP provides evidence-based cutoff times: 100mg of caffeine (small coffee) requires a minimum of 4 hours before bed, 107mg (standard cup) needs 8.8 hours, and 217.5mg (large coffee or pre-workout) requires 13.2 hours before bed for optimal sleep quality.
For a 10 PM bedtime with a standard cup of coffee, that means your last cup should be before 1:30 PM.
Why Your Genetics Matter
Caffeine metabolism varies enormously based on genetics — up to 40-fold difference between individuals.
The CYP1A2 Gene
More than 95% of caffeine is metabolized by the CYP1A2 enzyme. According to research from PMC, a key genetic variation determines your metabolism speed:
The CYP1A2 gene determines caffeine metabolism speed: about 40% of people have the A/A genotype making them fast metabolizers who clear caffeine quickly, 50% have the A/C genotype as intermediate metabolizers with moderate clearance, and 10% have the C/C genotype making them slow metabolizers who clear caffeine 4 times slower than fast metabolizers.
If you're a slow metabolizer (C/C genotype), caffeine stays in your system much longer. The 6-hour rule might need to be the 12-hour rule for you.
Heritability
Twin studies estimate that genetic factors account for approximately 72.5% of variation in caffeine metabolism. Your sensitivity to caffeine's sleep effects is largely inherited.
Other Factors
Beyond genetics, several factors affect caffeine clearance:
Pregnancy: Half-life increases by 8+ hours (can be up to 16 hours longer)
Oral contraceptives: Double the half-life
Smoking: Shortens half-life (smokers clear caffeine faster)
Alcohol: Increases half-life
Practical Guidelines for Better Sleep
Based on the research, here's what actually works:
Calculate Your Personal Cutoff
1. Identify your target bedtime 2. For standard coffee intake: stop 9 hours before bed 3. For higher intake: stop 13 hours before bed 4. If you're a known slow metabolizer: add 2-3 hours
Example: For a 10 PM bedtime and moderate coffee habit, aim for your last cup by 1 PM.
Know Your Sensitivity
If you can drink coffee at dinner and sleep fine, you're likely a fast metabolizer. If even morning coffee seems to affect your sleep, you may be a slow metabolizer. Adjust accordingly.
Consider the Dose
One small cup (100 mg) requires a 4-hour buffer. Two large cups (400 mg) need 12+ hours. The dose matters as much as the timing.
Track Your Sleep Quality
You might fall asleep fine but still experience reduced deep sleep. If you're sleeping enough hours but waking tired, afternoon caffeine could be the culprit even if you don't notice it directly.
Don't Forget Hidden Sources
Tea, soda, chocolate, and some medications contain caffeine. A chocolate dessert or caffeinated tea after dinner adds to your total load.
Frequently Asked Questions
How long does caffeine affect sleep?
Caffeine's half-life averages 5 hours but ranges from 1.5-9.5 hours depending on genetics. Research shows that even 6 hours before bed, 400 mg of caffeine significantly disrupts sleep. For complete clearance, most people need 8-13 hours after their last cup.
What time should I stop drinking coffee?
For a 10 PM bedtime: stop by 1-2 PM for moderate intake. Evidence-based research suggests 8.8 hours before bed for a standard cup (107 mg) and 13.2 hours for larger amounts (217 mg).
Can coffee affect sleep quality even if I fall asleep easily?
Yes. Caffeine reduces deep sleep duration by about 11 minutes and sleep efficiency by 7% — even when you don't notice difficulty falling asleep. You may get enough hours but wake less rested.
Does caffeine tolerance affect sleep impact?
Partial tolerance develops to caffeine's alerting effects, but the impact on sleep architecture persists. Research shows that regular caffeine users still experience delayed REM sleep and altered sleep stages.
How do I know if I'm a slow caffeine metabolizer?
Signs of slow metabolism: caffeine affects you strongly, effects last many hours, even small amounts near bedtime disrupt sleep, and you feel "wired" from amounts others tolerate fine. Genetic testing can confirm CYP1A2 status, but observing your response is usually sufficient.
The Bottom Line
Coffee and sleep have a complicated relationship. Caffeine stays in your system longer than most people realize, and its effects on sleep quality persist even when you fall asleep fine.
The 6-hour rule is a starting point, not a guarantee. Many people need 9-13 hours between their last cup and bedtime for truly unaffected sleep. And if you're genetically a slow metabolizer, you may need even more.
The solution isn't necessarily giving up coffee — it's being strategic about timing. Enjoy your morning cups, respect the cutoff, and let your sleep do what it's supposed to do.
At Ember, we love coffee and we love sleep. They don't have to be in conflict — you just have to know when to stop.
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Mushroom coffee is everywhere right now — wellness influencers swear by it, specialty brands are popping up constantly, and you've probably seen claims about improved focus, better immunity, and less jitteriness than regular coffee. But what does the science actually show?
Here's our honest take as coffee roasters: mushroom coffee isn't magic, but it isn't nonsense either. The research is more nuanced than the marketing suggests. Let's look at what we actually know — and what's still just hype.
What Is Mushroom Coffee?
Mushroom coffee is regular coffee blended with extracts from medicinal or "functional" mushrooms. These aren't culinary mushrooms like shiitake or portobello — they're fungi traditionally used in Asian medicine.
The most common mushrooms used:
Lion's Mane (Hericium erinaceus) — marketed for cognitive function and nerve health
Chaga (Inonotus obliquus) — marketed for immune support and antioxidants
Reishi (Ganoderma lucidum) — marketed for stress reduction and sleep
Cordyceps (Cordyceps militaris) — marketed for energy and athletic performance
The mushrooms are typically dried, extracted, and processed into powder that's blended with ground coffee beans. Most products contain roughly 50% coffee, 50% mushroom extract — which means about half the caffeine of regular coffee.
What the Research Actually Shows
Let's go mushroom by mushroom, because the evidence varies significantly.
Lion's Mane: The Most Promising for Cognition
Lion's mane has the strongest human research behind its cognitive claims — but with important caveats.
What studies show:
A Japanese clinical trial in 50-80 year-old adults with mild cognitive impairment found significant improvements in cognitive performance after 16 weeks of supplementation. However, benefits declined after discontinuation.
A 2023 trial at Northumbria University (41 healthy adults, 1.8g/day for 28 days) found participants performed faster on certain cognitive tasks 60 minutes after a single dose, but showed no significant global cognitive improvements after chronic supplementation.
A 2024-2025 systematic review of 5 randomized controlled trials found modest improvements in cognitive scores.
The takeaway: Moderate evidence for older adults with cognitive decline; weak evidence for healthy young adults. If you're 25 and sharp, lion's mane probably won't supercharge your brain.
Chaga: Limited Human Evidence
Chaga is marketed heavily for immune support, but the research is almost entirely preclinical.
According to Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, "the safety and efficacy of chaga have yet to be evaluated in clinical studies." The immune-modulating effects documented in laboratory research haven't been confirmed in human trials.
Important safety note: Multiple documented cases of kidney damage (oxalate nephropathy) have occurred in people consuming chaga powder at 4-15g daily. One case resulted in permanent kidney damage requiring hemodialysis.
Reishi: Modest Immune Support
Reishi has some human research, primarily in cancer patients as an adjunct therapy.
A Cochrane systematic review analyzed 5 randomized controlled trials (373 participants) on reishi for cancer treatment. Patients receiving reishi with chemotherapy/radiotherapy showed modest improvements in immune markers, though the review concluded it "could be administered as an alternative adjunct to conventional treatment" — not as a replacement.
For general stress and sleep claims, the evidence is limited.
Cordyceps: Exercise Performance Potential
Cordyceps has the most interesting research for physical performance.
A 2017 study (28 participants, 4g/day for 3 weeks) found significant improvements in VO2max (+4.8 ml/kg/min vs +0.9 for placebo) and time to exhaustion (+69.8 seconds). No effects were seen after just 1 week.
Another trial in amateur marathoners (2g/day for 12 weeks) showed improved aerobic performance and lowered heart rate at submaximal intensity. The takeaway: Moderate evidence for exercise performance, but only with consistent supplementation over 3+ weeks at 2-4g/day.
Mushroom Coffee vs. Regular Coffee: Nutritional Comparison
Regular coffee contains 95-200mg of caffeine per 8oz cup with high antioxidants from chlorogenic acid and about 2 calories when black, while mushroom coffee has 50-100mg of caffeine per 8oz with high antioxidants from both coffee and mushrooms, includes beta-glucans (absent in regular coffee), and has similar calorie content.
The lower caffeine is the most practical difference for most people. If you want to reduce caffeine intake while keeping the coffee ritual, mushroom coffee offers a middle ground.
One note from Harvard Health: You would likely get more nutritional benefit from eating actual mushrooms alongside regular coffee, as whole mushrooms provide fiber and other nutrients lost in extraction.
What's Actually Supported vs. Marketing Claims
Let's be direct about this:
Supported by Evidence (With Caveats)
Claims supported by evidence include lion's mane supporting cognitive function in older adults (though effects require sustained use and diminish when stopped), cordyceps improving exercise tolerance (but only with 3+ weeks of 2-4g daily), containing 50% less caffeine than regular coffee, and being gentler for caffeine-sensitive people due to the lower caffeine content.
Not Supported or Overstated
Common marketing claims that are not supported or overstated include "boosts focus and clarity" in healthy young adults (studies show minimal to no cognitive benefit), "immune-boosting" from chaga and reishi (human clinical trials are lacking), "reduces stress and anxiety" (only trend-level effects that aren't statistically significant), being "better than regular coffee" for health (whole mushrooms plus coffee would provide more benefits), and being "scientifically proven" (most evidence comes from isolated supplements, not actual mushroom coffee products).
Quality and Safety Concerns
This is worth knowing before you buy.
The FDA doesn't require pre-market approval for dietary supplements, placing responsibility on manufacturers. Quality control is a significant issue in this market.
Concerning finding: In one study of 19 reishi supplements tested, only 5 could be validated as genuine products. The mushroom supplement industry has documented quality control problems. Potential interactions:
Blood thinners: Reishi and chaga may increase bleeding risk
Blood pressure medications: Additive effects possible
Immunosuppressants: Cordyceps may interfere
Surgery: Discontinue 2 weeks before due to bleeding risk
If you're on medications, talk to your doctor before adding mushroom coffee to your routine.
Our Honest Assessment
Here's our take as coffee people:
Mushroom coffee makes sense if you:
Want to reduce caffeine while keeping coffee flavor
Are specifically interested in trying lion's mane or cordyceps for their documented (if modest) benefits
Enjoy the taste and ritual of mushroom coffee
Mushroom coffee probably isn't worth it if you:
Expect dramatic cognitive or immune benefits
Are paying a large premium expecting health transformation
Could just eat actual mushrooms and drink regular quality coffee
The Harvard Health summary puts it well: mushroom coffee "probably won't do any harm" but don't expect miracles.
What About Just Drinking Good Coffee?
Regular coffee has extensively documented health benefits — decades of research linking moderate consumption to reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, liver disease, and neurological conditions.
The compounds in quality coffee — chlorogenic acids, melanoidins, and yes, caffeine — have substantial evidence behind them. If you're drinking well-sourced, properly roasted coffee, you're already getting significant health benefits.
Adding mushroom extracts might provide incremental benefits for specific purposes. But the foundation of a healthy coffee habit is the coffee itself — its quality, freshness, and how it's produced.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is mushroom coffee actually good for you?
It's not harmful, and some mushrooms (lion's mane, cordyceps) have modest evidence for specific benefits. But the health claims are often overstated. Regular quality coffee has more robust research supporting its health benefits.
Does mushroom coffee taste like mushrooms?
Most brands taste predominantly like coffee with earthy undertones. The mushroom flavor is usually subtle. If you're sensitive to mushroom taste, try products with lower mushroom ratios.
How much caffeine is in mushroom coffee?
Typically 50-100mg per 8oz cup — about half of regular coffee. This is because mushroom powder replaces roughly half the coffee in most blends.
Can I make mushroom coffee at home?
Yes — you can buy mushroom extract powder and add it to your regular coffee. This lets you control the ratio and use your preferred coffee. Harvard Health suggests this may be more cost-effective than pre-blended products.
Is mushroom coffee safe?
For most people, yes. But chaga has documented kidney concerns at high doses, and several mushrooms can interact with medications. If you're on blood thinners, immunosuppressants, or have upcoming surgery, consult your doctor first.
The Bottom Line
Mushroom coffee occupies an interesting middle ground — it's not the miracle wellness brands claim, but it's not snake oil either. Some of the mushrooms have real, if modest, evidence behind specific benefits. The lower caffeine content is a legitimate advantage for sensitive individuals.
But if you're looking for the health benefits of coffee, the simplest answer is: drink good coffee. Quality sourcing, proper roasting, and freshness matter more than adding trendy ingredients. The research behind regular coffee consumption is robust and extensive.
At Ember, we focus on what we know works — organic beans, air-roasted for a clean cup, shipped fresh. No gimmicks, no miracle claims. Just coffee done right.
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Coffee prices hit a 47-year high in late 2024. The immediate cause: Brazil's worst drought in 70 years combined with poor harvests in Vietnam. The underlying cause: climate change is making these events more frequent and more severe.
This isn't a distant future scenario. It's happening now. And the projections for the next 25 years are sobering.
Here's what climate change means for coffee — and what the industry is doing to adapt.
The Temperature Problem
Arabica coffee is picky about temperature. It grows optimally at mean temperatures of 18-23°C (64-73°F), with tolerance up to about 24°C. Beyond that threshold, yields and quality decline rapidly.
What Happens When It Gets Too Hot
According to research published in Nature Scientific Reports, a 1°C increase in average air temperature causes approximately a 14% decrease in coffee production. Studies across East Africa and Central America report yield reductions of 30-50% under 2-3°C warming scenarios.
Higher temperatures also:
Accelerate cherry ripening, shortening development time
Produce smaller beans with lower cup quality
Increase susceptibility to pests and diseases
Reduce the lifespan of coffee plants
The 2050 Projections
The numbers are stark. Research published in PLOS ONE confirms that 50% of land currently suitable for Arabica production will no longer be suitable by 2050.
Regional impacts vary but are universally significant:
By 2050, climate projections show devastating regional impacts: Brazil, India, and Central America could see up to 80% of current areas become unsuitable for coffee, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Kenya face one-third declines in suitability, Central America overall may experience 38-89% reductions in growing area, and Brazil's key regions of Minas Gerais and São Paulo could see suitable land drop from 70-75% to just 20-25%.
Coffee-suitable elevations are projected to shift upward by more than 300 meters by mid-century. In hot, wet regions like Southern Mexico, coffee will need to migrate nearly 500 meters higher.
Coffee Leaf Rust: Climate's Amplifier
Rising temperatures don't just stress plants directly — they enable diseases to spread where they couldn't before.
The Most Destructive Coffee Disease
Coffee leaf rust (Hemileia vastatrix) causes losses of $1-2 billion annually worldwide. According to the IAEA, it's the most destructive coffee disease globally.
How Climate Change Helps the Fungus
Changing rainfall patterns and rising temperatures shorten the time it takes for infected plants to become infectious. More critically, the disease has spread to mid and highland coffee-growing areas that were previously too cool for the fungus.
Before 2011, coffee leaf rust wasn't problematic above 1,000 meters. The post-2011 epidemic changed that — infestations of equal intensity now occur at higher altitudes than ever recorded.
The Central American Outbreak
The consequences have been devastating:
More than 70% of Guatemalan coffee crops infected
100,000 jobs lost in Guatemala alone
15% drop in national coffee output
More than half of the region's coffee farming land affected
The wave that started in 2011 quickly spread to elevations that had been rust-free for decades.
Water Stress and Drought
Drought is now a primary constraint on global coffee production.
Recent Impacts
The past two years illustrate the severity:
Brazil (2024): Worst drought in 70 years reduced yields by up to 12%
Vietnam (2023/24): 20% production drop; exports fell 10% for second consecutive year
Indonesia (2023/24): Production declined 16.5% year-on-year
What Drought Does to Coffee
Prolonged drought stress causes:
Stomatal closure and oxidative stress
Severely reduced photosynthesis
Stunted growth and yield reduction
Bean quality deterioration
Heightened susceptibility to pests and diseases
When coffee plants experience water stress during critical development phases, the damage compounds across multiple seasons.
Country Impacts: What's At Stake
Brazil
The world's top producer (one-third of global supply) faces escalating challenges:
After four years of severe climatic impacts, plants haven't recovered
Average productivity dropped 1.9% from 2023
2025/26 Arabica production expected to decrease 6.4%
Ethiopia (Birthplace of Coffee)
The stakes in Ethiopia are existential:
The Kafa Biosphere Reserve contains thousands of genetic variants of wild Arabica — a vital seed bank
60% of 124 wild coffee species are threatened with extinction
15 million Ethiopians depend on coffee for their livelihoods
Climate change is causing disease proliferation and shifting suitable growing areas
Central America
The region has lost more than half of planted coffee area in recent outbreaks:
At least 350,000 people lost jobs
Climate effects contribute to migration from Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador
Over half of current coffee area faces decline by 2050
What the Industry Is Doing
Climate-Resistant Varieties
F1 Hybrids: World Coffee Research is developing new varieties with higher yields, wider climate adaptability, and disease/drought resilience. Early trials showed 22-47% higher yields without losses in cup quality.
Available varieties include Centroamericano, Mundo Maya, Starmaya, and Milenio in Latin America.
Coffea stenophylla: This West African species can tolerate mean annual temperatures up to 6-7°C higher than Arabica while producing comparable cup quality. Researchers are exploring crossbreeding to introduce stenophylla genes into Arabica.
Elevation Shifts
Farmers are moving uphill as lower elevations become unsuitable. The minimum altitude for viable production is projected to rise from approximately 2,000 feet to 3,300 feet.
Challenges include:
Limited available land at higher elevations
Infrastructure and transportation barriers
Competition with existing land uses
Economic barriers for smallholder farmers
Agroforestry and Shade-Grown Systems
Shade trees buffer coffee plants against temperature extremes — reducing ambient temperatures by up to 4°C. According to research in Frontiers, shade-grown systems are more productive and profitable than monocultures while providing climate resilience.
Medium shade development (up to 60% cover) achieves the highest productivity.
Why Robusta Isn't the Simple Answer
Some suggested switching to Robusta, which was thought to tolerate higher temperatures. But recent research found Robusta behaves "a lot more like Arabica than previously thought" — its optimal temperature is actually 20.5°C, with yields dropping 14% per degree of warming above that.
What This Means for Coffee Prices
Record Highs
World coffee prices increased 38.8% in 2024 compared to the previous year
November 2024: Prices hit a 47-year high
December 2024: Arabica 58% above year-ago levels; Robusta up 70%
U.S. ground roast coffee reached $8.41 per pound in July — a record
The Structural Problem
Global demand currently exceeds global production. The gap is projected to widen as:
Climate impacts reduce suitable growing areas
Consumption continues to increase (66% of American adults drink coffee daily — a 20-year high)
Extreme weather events become more frequent
What Consumers Can Do
Support Sustainable Practices
Shade-grown and organic coffee supports farming systems that are more climate-resilient. These farms sequester more carbon, preserve biodiversity, and can better withstand temperature extremes.
Buy Quality Over Quantity
Specialty coffee typically comes from higher elevations where climate impacts are less severe (for now). Supporting farmers who invest in quality creates economic incentives for sustainable practices.
Understand the Price Reality
The era of cheap coffee may be ending. Prices that reflect the true cost of sustainable production — including adapting to climate change — support the farmers and systems needed for coffee's long-term future.
Frequently Asked Questions
How is climate change affecting coffee?
Rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, and increased pest pressure are reducing yields and quality. Research shows each 1°C temperature increase causes approximately 14% yield reduction. By 2050, 50% of current Arabica-suitable land may become unsuitable for cultivation.
Will there be a coffee shortage?
Supply constraints are already occurring — Brazil's 2024 drought was the worst in 70 years. Long-term projections show significant reductions in suitable growing land. Whether this becomes a true "shortage" depends on adaptation efforts, new varieties, and changes in growing regions.
Why are coffee prices so high?
Climate-driven supply disruptions combined with growing global demand. Brazil's drought, Vietnam's production decline, and reduced harvests in Indonesia all contributed to 2024's record prices. These events are becoming more frequent as climate change intensifies.
What is the future of coffee production?
The industry is adapting through climate-resistant varieties (F1 hybrids), elevation shifts to cooler areas, and agroforestry systems that buffer temperature extremes. Wild coffee species like Coffea stenophylla offer genetic resources for future breeding. The geography of coffee will change, but production will likely continue — at higher cost.
How can I help as a coffee consumer?
Support shade-grown and sustainably certified coffees, which are more climate-resilient. Buy from roasters who pay fair prices to farmers investing in adaptation. Accept that sustainable coffee costs more — that price supports the farming practices needed for long-term production.
The Bottom Line
Climate change isn't a future threat to coffee — it's a present reality. The 2024 price spikes, Brazil's drought, and the spread of coffee leaf rust to higher elevations are all symptoms of a changing climate.
The coffee you drink in 2030 or 2040 may come from different elevations, different varieties, and different farming systems than today. Adaptation is possible, but it requires investment from the entire supply chain — including consumers willing to pay sustainable prices.
At Ember, we source from farmers who are adapting: investing in shade systems, diversifying varieties, and building resilience into their operations. The coffee is excellent, and the farms are positioned for a climate-changed future.
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